Thanks to reader MM for pointing out John Nielsen-Gammon’s latest posting at the Houston Chronicle site. It is very much worth a read if you are interested in climate or in Texas. (It happens that I am obsessed with both, as readers probably know.)
Will Texas revert to its normal, already quite variable, range? Well, yeah, probably. Will it ever be too wet again? I wouldn’t be surprised. (Remind me to talk about why I believe that year over year climate variability is going to increase almost everywhere. I really don’t think most people are thinking about this right. Take note of 2004 and 2007 over on the right side of the figure, for instance.)
But will there be another year like this next year? That’s up to the tropical Pacific of all places. Another La Nina year (as some ENSO models predict) might just do us a lot of damage if it pans out the way this one did. Two years in a row like this one would cause permanent environmental damage to Texas. It’s hard to imagine many unwatered trees left alive anywhere from El Paso to Texarkana if that happens.